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How Has the Indian Stock Market Performed in the Last 10 Years?

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Performance of the Indian Stock Market in the Last 10 Years (2013 – 2023)

How Did the Indian Stock Market Perform in 2023?

Indian Stock Market Performance in the Last 10 Years: Analyzing Its Success

Conclusion

Over the past decade, the Indian stock market has emerged as a powerhouse, standing tall among the world’s best-performing markets. Boasting accolades such as being the third-largest stock exchange globally and the second-fastest growing, the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) have played pivotal roles in India’s economy.

Explore the fascinating journey of the Indian stock market over the last 10 years, examining its remarkable performance for the Indian economy and the factors that have contributed to its success.

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Performance of the Indian Stock Market in the Last 10 Years (2013 – 2023)

The Indian stock market‘s stellar performance is underlined by its outperformance on various timeframes compared to major global markets.

Global Comparisons

According to a report by ASK Investment Managers, the Nifty large cap index has delivered an impressive 10.9% annualized return over the past decade. In contrast, the US index managed only 6%, and China’s market lagged significantly at 2.7%.

Also read: Top 10 Biggest Economies in the World 2023: GDP and GDP Per-Capita Comparison.

Last Five Years

Over the last five years, the stock exchange in India continued to outshine with an 18.8% annualized return, surpassing the US (6.9%), Japan (12.1%), and the UK (7.6%). The three-year period displayed a resilient annualized return of 6.1%, standing higher than the US and UK indices and marginally below Indonesia’s 6.3%. This is remarkable, especially when one considers that 83% of all nations were reeling due to recession in 2020 due to the pandemic and its effects on the world economy.

Long-Term Superiority

The success of the Indian share market is not a fleeting phenomenon. Comparisons with other countries like Mexico, France, Germany, and Japan reveal that while India might not lead in short-term returns, its long-term performance stands out. The DSP Asset Managers’ report highlighted that over the last 123 years, the Indian stock market has delivered a real return of 6.6%—higher than the US (6.4%) and China (3.3%).

How Did the Indian Stock Market Perform in 2023?

In FY2023, the Indian stock market has continued its impressive performance, showcasing resilience and growth. Notably, the Nifty, a benchmark index comprising large-cap stocks, has surged by 6% year-to-date, reflecting the market’s strength and stability. This positive momentum is indicative of investor confidence in India’s economic prospects and the underlying strength of its financial markets.

However, the real stars of the show in 2023 have been the midcap and small cap segments. The midcap index, representing medium-sized companies, has witnessed a substantial gain of 23%, underscoring the broad-based growth across sectors.

Simultaneously, the small cap index has outshone with an impressive surge of 27%, signifying robust performance among smaller companies.

This stellar performance across market segments is a testament to the economy’s adaptability and resilience, even in the face of global uncertainties. As investors navigate the dynamic landscape, the remarkable gains in midcap and small cap indices suggest a diverse range of investment opportunities and a buoyant market sentiment.

Indian Stock Market Performance in the Last 10 Years: Analyzing Its Success

The remarkable performance of the Indian stock market over the last decade is not merely a stroke of luck. It is rooted in a confluence of robust economic fundamentals and strategic advantages as well as shaped by a combination of various factors:

1. Macroeconomic Stability and Growth

India’s enduring prosperity hinges on maintaining a robust and steady domestic macroeconomic environment. Boasting a real GDP growth rate surpassing 7% in 2022-23 and an anticipated growth rate exceeding 6% in 2023-24, India retains its position as the world’s fastest-growing major economy.

This consistent growth is not a temporary anomaly but stems from fundamental changes that have lessened the influence of external global macro uncertainties on the domestic economy. The resilience demonstrated by India’s economy in the midst of global economy challenges has bolstered investor confidence.

2. Demographic Dividends

India’s economic resilience is significantly influenced by its robust demographic makeup. With a youthful and growing population, the nation is poised to harness the advantages of an expanding workforce. Projections indicate that by 2030, India will lead in having the largest working-age population, marked by ambition, youth, and rising income levels.

This demographic edge positions India as a formidable contender on the world stage, drawing investments and nurturing economic advancement. Observers expect the Indian economy to be the third biggest by the year 2027.

3. Corporate Performance and Profitability

The first quarter outcomes of FY2023 highlight the persistent vigor of India’s business landscape. Nifty, a crucial market gauge, displayed an impressive year-on-year increase of over 30% in profit after tax (PAT). It is noteworthy that oil marketing companies (OMCs) significantly contributed to this substantial PAT growth, capitalizing on a favorable base in Q1FY23. Even when excluding OMCs, Nifty showcased a strong performance with a roughly 19% growth in PAT.

The increase in Profit After Tax (PAT) can be ascribed to strategic elements, with the primary factor being the decline in input costs, enabling margin expansion across various sectors. Prominent sectors contributing to this upswing include banks, automobiles, insurance, oil and gas, and capital goods. Despite a modest 4% growth in overall sales for the top 500 businesses, the quarter witnessed superior profit growth due to the expansion of profit margins, influenced by favorable commodity prices.

Read on – Indian Economic Growth Vs Chinese Economic Growth: 2024 and Beyond, Who Will Emerge Taller?

4. Sectoral Dynamics

Analyzing the growth patterns across various sectors helps discover various subtleties. Industries such as oil and gas, automobiles, insurance, capital goods, and banks displayed strong growth driven by domestic demand and favorable economic conditions.

In contrast, globally interconnected sectors like chemicals and IT encountered a deceleration. The metals sector, influenced by global uncertainties, also witnessed a decline.

Furthermore, sectors with lower consumption presented challenges, highlighting the diverse dynamics within the Indian economy.

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Conclusion

The positive trajectory in 2023 adds another chapter to the success story of the Indian stock market, reaffirming its position as a key player in the global financial landscape. As we reflect on the last decade, the journey of the Indian stock market has been nothing short of remarkable. Fueled by strong fundamentals and a resilient economy, India has not only weathered global challenges but has consistently outperformed major markets over extended periods.

As investors continue to navigate the dynamic landscape, the Indian stock market stands as a testament to the potential for sustained growth and wealth creation in the years to come.

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